Quick answer
Yes. From 1 October 2026, under new Commerce Commission limits, Vector's standard distribution prices rise by a weighted average of 12.7% and Powerco's charges by 13.4% on average. Pipeline charges are about a third of a small commercial bill, so the Commission estimates they add about 1% to 3% to most bills in real terms, as at September 2026.
Key facts
- From 1 October 2026, Vector's standard gas distribution prices in Auckland rise by a weighted average of 12.7%, and Powerco's gas distribution charges by an average of 13.4% (Vector; Powerco).
- Firstgas Distribution's business price categories rise by an estimated 11.42% to 11.46% from 1 October 2026, against 5.01% for residential (Firstgas, 5 August 2026).
- Pipeline charges are about a third of a small commercial gas bill. From those changes alone, the Commission estimates real bill rises of about 1% to 3% in year one, and about 3% a year for three years on Vector's (Commerce Commission).
- The new price path runs from 1 October 2026 to 30 September 2031, with flat real prices after the first-year step except on Vector's network (Commerce Commission, 27 May 2026).
On this page· 5 sections
Yes. On 1 October 2026 a new five-year price path for New Zealand's gas pipelines begins, and the networks have published higher prices to match: Vector's standard prices rise by a weighted average of 12.7%, Powerco's charges by an average of 13.4%, and Firstgas Distribution's business categories by an estimated 11.42% to 11.46%. Pipeline charges are only about a third of the bill, so on their own they add far less to the whole bill.
What changes on 1 October 2026?
The Commerce Commission regulates gas pipelines as natural monopolies. On 27 May 2026 it set the fourth default price-quality path (DPP4), which sets revenue limits for Firstgas Transmission, Firstgas Distribution, GasNet, Powerco and Vector from 1 October 2026 to 30 September 2031.
Each business gets a one-off "starting price" step on 1 October, then prices held flat in real terms, apart from Vector's. The Commission's figures are real (excluding inflation) and exclude pass-through and recoverable costs, such as council rates and statutory levies:
| Pipeline business | Price step on 1 October 2026 | After that |
|---|---|---|
| Firstgas Transmission (the sole transmission network) | CPI + 5.9% | CPI + 0% |
| Firstgas Distribution | CPI + 2.4% | CPI + 0% |
| GasNet | CPI + 10.4% | CPI + 0% |
| Powerco | CPI + 7.8% | CPI + 0% |
| Vector (Auckland) | CPI + 10.0% | CPI + 10.0% in years 2 and 3, then CPI + 0% |
Source: Commerce Commission, final decision reasons paper, 27 May 2026.
The Commission also trimmed what the networks planned. It allowed 7% less capital spending than they had planned, and operating allowances 5% below their asset management plans (Commerce Commission, 27 May 2026).
How much are network prices rising for businesses?
The networks have now published their actual prices, which are nominal (they include inflation and pass-through costs), so they run higher than the Commission's real figures:
| Network | Published change from 1 October 2026 | Example business price |
|---|---|---|
| Vector (Auckland) | Standard prices up by a weighted average of 12.7% | Small commercial (10–40 scm/h): $3.5862 a day, up from $3.1829; $0.009695/kWh, up from $0.008605 (excl. GST) |
| Powerco (Wellington, Hutt Valley, Porirua, Taranaki, Manawatū, Horowhenua, Hawke's Bay) | Charges up by an average of 13.4% | Load group G12 (restaurants, office buildings, small to mid-sized motels) in Taranaki, Manawatū, Horowhenua and Hawke's Bay: $3.5283 a day, up from $2.8685; $4.8075/GJ, up from $4.5440 (excl. GST) |
| Firstgas Distribution | Business categories up an estimated 11.42% to 11.46%; residential 5.01% | Small commercial: $2.44907 a day, up from $2.19737; $0.01633/kWh, up from $0.01465 (GST basis not stated) |
| GasNet (Whanganui, Marton, Bulls) | New prices published; no average stated | Load group G50 (12–50 m³/h): $2.707 a day, up from $2.412; $10.940/GJ, up from $9.747 (excl. GST) |
Sources: Vector; Powerco pricing schedule; Firstgas notice to retailers, 5 August 2026; GasNet price schedule.
Three details matter for businesses. Vector kept its price categories and applied the same weighted average increase to fixed and variable prices, to avoid materially different percentage changes within its standard consumer groups. Firstgas raised its business categories more than twice as much as its residential one in percentage terms. And in every Powerco commercial load group (G12 to G18), the fixed daily charge rose by more in percentage terms than the per-GJ charge, so within a group the lower a site's gas use, the bigger its percentage rise.
Why are pipeline charges rising while gas use falls?
Because fewer customers will be left to pay for the same pipes. The Commission says the long-term outlook of declining gas use creates a risk that networks will not recover their full costs. To head that off it completed a move to shorter regulatory asset lives, bringing depreciation forward into this period so costs are not left to "a smaller group of future consumers". The Commission says this does not increase the total consumers are expected to pay over the networks' lifetimes, and pipeline costs are "largely fixed", so they do not fall when less gas flows.
Falling volumes add to it. Under the distribution price cap, prices were effectively fixed during the last period while volumes on GasNet, Powerco and Vector fell further than forecast, so the new allowance is spread over less gas.
Supply is tightening too. MBIE figures reported by Gas Industry Co show 1P reserves (the 90% confidence estimate) fell 24.6% in a year, from 599.3 PJ to 451.7 PJ, and the Māui field is expected to stop producing by the end of 2026. Our guide to New Zealand's gas squeeze and business energy costs covers the supply picture in full.
What does it mean for a business gas bill?
Transmission and distribution together make up around one-third of residential and small commercial gas bills. On that basis, and assuming no change in the rest of the bill, the Commission estimates bills rise, in real terms:
- about 1% to 3% in the first year, then flat, on the Firstgas Distribution, GasNet and Powerco networks; and
- about 3% in each of the first three years on Vector's network.
The Commission adds that overall gas bills will likely move by more than this, because it expects the underlying gas price to rise as supply falls.
It expects "standard commercial" users to see similar percentage changes to households, which in dollars means more, because businesses use more gas (Commerce Commission). About 13,000 commercial and 400 industrial users are on the pipeline networks, all in the North Island.
The heaviest users are the hardest to predict. Powerco says industrial and commercial customers use over 60% of the gas it delivers, and 30% of its roughly 90 larger commercial and industrial customers are food processors. The Commission says it cannot robustly estimate impacts on commercial and industrial users, and that impacts will vary with individual circumstances and contracts, particularly for larger users connected to the Firstgas Transmission network.
In Taranaki, Firstgas limited its transmission capacity fee increase to $14 per GJ of reserved capacity a year, against $38 at most delivery points, "to minimise price shock to this region". More on the region: our Taranaki hub.
What can a business control, and what can't it?
You cannot choose your pipeline network, and on standard prices you cannot negotiate its charges; your ICP decides which network you are on. Very large users are the exception: Powerco, for example, offers non-standard tariffs to large commercial and industrial customers (Powerco pricing methodology). What you can do:
- Check your price category. Network prices depend on your gas flow rate and use. Powerco, for example, puts restaurants, office buildings and small to mid-sized motels in load group G12, and hotels, large motels and shopping complexes in G14. If your equipment has changed, ask whether your category still fits.
- Read your contract for pass-through terms. Retailers decide how and when network changes reach you, so check whether your rate is fixed or passes network charges through.
- Look at the whole bill, not just the network line. The Commission expects the underlying gas price to rise too, and the gas component is not regulated.
- Compare before you renew. See what we compare for business gas and LPG, or check your address or ICP to see what a new contract could look like.
For how the same network logic works on a power bill, see lines charges explained.
Questions people also ask
Will my gas retailer pass the new pipeline charges straight on to my business?
Not necessarily straight away. The Commerce Commission limits pipeline companies' revenue, not retail prices, and retailers decide how network price changes flow on to customers. Vector says each retailer decides how and when to pass on its changes, so the effect depends on your retailer, your pricing plan and how much gas you use.
Why is the increase bigger on Vector's Auckland network?
Vector's prices stayed relatively flat through the last price path and its demand came in lower than forecast, so a one-off reset would have lifted its prices by 25.4% in real terms. The Commerce Commission smoothed that into steps of 10% a year above inflation for the first three years, then flat real prices for the last two (Commerce Commission, 27 May 2026).
Will gas pipeline charges keep rising after October 2026?
At least with inflation. After the first-year step the Commission set a 0% real rate of change for every pipeline business except Vector, which rises 10% above inflation in years two and three, and changes in pass-through costs such as council rates and levies still flow into published prices. Firstgas Transmission is under a revenue cap, so shortfalls can be recovered in later years, with yearly increases limited to 10% above the CPI-X rate of change. On distribution networks, revenue swings beyond 15% of forecast are shared 50/50 with consumers.
Are large industrial gas users affected differently?
Often, yes. The Commerce Commission says it cannot robustly estimate impacts on commercial and industrial users, including those on bespoke contracts or connected directly to the transmission network. On Firstgas transmission, capacity reservation fees rise by between 4.2% and 6.1% and the standard throughput fee by 6.6%, to $1.30 per GJ for deliveries off the Frankley Road pipeline, for the year from 1 October 2026.
Do these changes mean natural gas is getting more expensive overall?
Pipeline charges are only one part. The Commerce Commission says overall gas bills will likely move by more than its pipeline estimate because the underlying gas price is expected to rise as supply falls. It also found commercial gas prices are now about double their 2020 level in real terms.
Sources
Primary sources first. Every figure on this page comes from one of these, each with the date we last accessed it.
- Commission sets new revenue limits for gas pipeline businesses (opens in a new tab)Commerce Commission · accessed 29 September 2026
- Gas DPP4 reset: Default price-quality paths for gas pipeline businesses from 1 October 2026, Final decision reasons paper (opens in a new tab)Commerce Commission · accessed 29 September 2026
- Understanding changes to gas pipeline charges from 1 October 2026 (opens in a new tab)Commerce Commission · accessed 29 September 2026
- Changes to gas network prices (opens in a new tab)Vector · accessed 29 September 2026
- Gas Distribution Pricing Schedule 1 October 2026 (opens in a new tab)Powerco · accessed 29 September 2026
- Gas Distribution Pricing Methodology October 2026 – September 2027 (opens in a new tab)Powerco · accessed 29 September 2026
- Network Services Price Schedule – 1 October 2026 (opens in a new tab)GasNet · accessed 29 September 2026
- GasNet Natural Gas Network & Meters Coverage (opens in a new tab)GasNet · accessed 29 September 2026
- Notification of Firstgas Distribution Pricing Effective 1 October 2026 (opens in a new tab)Firstgas · accessed 29 September 2026
- Pricing Methodology for Gas Transmission Services for GY2027 (opens in a new tab)Firstgas · accessed 29 September 2026
- Quarterly Report June 2026 (opens in a new tab)Gas Industry Co · accessed 29 September 2026
